The present study examines the role of disclosure in assisting market
participants to form expectations of future earnings from the accrual (i.e.,
the non cash) content of reported earnings. Prior research has shown that, in
general, disclosure is able to enhance future earnings information in current
stock returns.
In this paper, it is shown that the role of disclosure in revealing relevant
information on the prospects of the firm depends on the nature of the accruals
appearing in the financial statements. In this respect, therefore, the present
study addresses a significant gap in the understanding of accruals by providing
an insight into the strength of the interaction between reported accounting
numbers and further information disclosed by the firm, and this is done in an
international context relevant to the contemporary setting of integrating
capital markets.
In examining whether the information about future earnings in current returns
is conditional upon disclosure, it is acknowledged that accrual-based financial
statements and other disclosed material may interact in conveying useful
information about the future cash flows that outside investors require for
valuation. Prior evidence demonstrates how investors condition their investment
decisions upon disclosure together with consideration of the accounting
policies that govern the calculation of accounting results. Instead of
accounting policies per se, the present study focuses on the
underlying nature of accrual accounting and the complementary role of
disclosure in revealing the relevance of accruals for the prediction of future
earnings and cash flows. The present study contributes by providing empirical
evidence on the interplay between disclosure levels and accruals, in so far as
it may assist market participants to become informed about future earnings,
emphasising:
- the sign of accruals, i.e. whether operating asset changes
and operating liability changes together result in an increase in net operating
assets (a net positive accrual) or a decrease in net operating assets (a net
negative accrual), and
- the duration of accruals, considering that current accruals
address matching and timing issues more promptly than non-current
accruals.