In analyzing a DNA mixture sample, the measured peak areas of alleles of STR
markers amplified using the polymerase chain-reaction (PCR) technique provide
valuable information concerning the relative amounts of DNA originating from
each contributor to the mixture. This information can be exploited for the
purpose of trying to predict the genetic profiles of those contributors whose
genetic profiles are not known. One recent suggestion is a probabilistic expert
system model that uses gamma distributions to model the size and stochastic
variation in peak area values. This paper carries out a statistical analysis
of the gamma distribution assumption, using computer generated peak area values
from an independent probability model that simulates the PCR amplification
process.