Articles in "Actuarial Science"

UK state pension reform in a public choice framework

Social security systems for old age have been explicitly studied in a public choice framework for over 30 years. They illustrate extremely well the problems of allocating economic resources through a system of voting.

This paper examines the incentives facing voters to expand state pension provision and the possibilities of reducing state pension provision by increasing state pension age. As such it is of great relevance for the study of policy in ageing societies where implicit pension liabilities are increasing and will prove difficult to reduce.

Updated: 19/01/2012
Comments:
Views: 484

Monetary policy, asset prices and actuarial practice

Author(s):

Philip Booth


The operation of monetary policy may have an impact on securities markets and asset values. This is of relevance to many in the actuarial industry, particularly to actuaries who work in non-bank financial institutions such as pension funds and insurance companies.

This review paper presents mainstream theories of monetary policy and draws out the implications that are regarded as most important for actuaries and actuarial research.

Updated: 06/01/2012
Comments:
Views: 430

Optimal capital allocation principles

This paper develops a unifying framework for allocating the aggregate capital of a financial firm to its business units.

Updated: 17/01/2012
Comments:
Views: 1,978

Research into long term care for the elderly

Rickayzen and Walsh (2002), built a multiple state model which can be used to project the number of disabled people in the UK over the next 35 years. By focusing on the population who are over age 65 and projected to have severe disabilities, we are able to estimate the future long term care (LTC) demand over the next three decades.

Updated: 19/10/2011
Comments:
Views: 1,161

What is wrong with the chain ladder technique(?)

The title is both a statement and a question, and in the talk you will find a list of things that are wrong with the chain ladder technique but also a question asking whether it is so bad after all.

Updated: 22/09/2011
Comments:
Views: 2,226

Cass Ethics with professor Steven Haberman: ethics and insurance

Author(s):

Steven Haberman

 et al.

Steven Haberman, Professor of Actuarial Science and Director and Deputy Dean at Cass, discusses the bankruptcy of Equitable Life 10 years on, what has changed in the Insurance business and the challenges still faced by the industry.

Updated: 20/10/2011
Comments:
Views: 2,025

Probabilistic expert systems for handling artifacts in complex DNA mixtures

This paper presents a probabilistic framework for taking account of common artifacts (specifically, allelic dropout, stutter bands and silent alleles) that can cause problems in analysing DNA samples when they occur.

Updated: 22/09/2011
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Views: 533

Validation of an STR peak area model

In analyzing a DNA mixture sample, the measured peak areas of alleles of STR markers amplified using the polymerase chain-reaction (PCR) technique provide valuable information concerning the relative amounts of DNA originating from each contributor to the mixture.

Updated: 22/09/2011
Comments:
Views: 1,027

Efficient maximum likelihood pedigree reconstruction

A simple and efficient algorithm is presented for finding a maximum likelihood pedigree using microsatellite (STR) genotype information on a complete sample of related individuals.

Updated: 22/09/2011
Comments:
Views: 756