Articles in "Actuarial Science"

Stochastic claims reserving in general insurance

Claims reserves are held by insurance companies so that they have sufficient funds to pay claims when they are submitted by policyholders. In general insurance, insurance policies usually last for a year; the policyholder pays an upfront premium and then expects any claims to be met - no matter when they are made. The problem for insurers is that there is often a delay before the claims are arrive, and then a further delay before they are paid.

Updated: 24/01/2013
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Views: 10,618

To split or not to split: capital allocation with convex risk measures

Convex risk measures were introduced by Deprez and Gerber (1985). Here the problem of allocating risk capital to subportfolios is addressed, when aggregate capital is calculated by a convex risk measure. The Aumann-Shapley value is proposed as an appropriate allocation mechanism. Distortion-exponential measures are discussed extensively and explicit capital allocation formulas are obtained for the case that the risk measure belongs to this family. Finally the implications of capital allocation with a convex risk measure for the stability of portfolios are discussed.

Updated: 22/09/2011
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Views: 3,133

Risk measures and theories of choice

We discuss classes of risk measures in terms both of their axiomatic definitions and of the economic theories of choice that they can be derived from. More specifically, expected utility theory gives rise to the exponential premium principle, proposed by Gerber (1974), Dhaene et al. (2003), whereas Yaari's (1987) dual theory of risk can be viewed as the source of the distortion premium principle (Denneberg (1990), Wang (1996).

Updated: 22/09/2011
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Views: 3,054

Froot and Stein revisited once again

Author(s):

Jens Nielsen

 et al.

In this paper we show that the economic intuition behind the paper of Froot and Stein (1998) is correct and that their result can be obtained when the market is reformulated in a discrete time setting.

Updated: 22/09/2011
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Views: 3,667

A mixing model for operational risk

Author(s):

Jens Nielsen

 et al.

External data can often be useful in improving estimation of operational risk loss distributions. This paper develops a systematic approach that incorporates external information into internal loss distribution modelling.

Updated: 22/09/2011
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Views: 3,220

Combining underreported internal and external data for operational risk measurement

Author(s):

Jens Nielsen

 et al.

This paper proposes a model for operational losses that improves the internal loss distribution modelling by combining internal and external operational risk data. It also considers the possibility that internal and external data have been collected with a different truncation threshold.

Updated: 22/09/2011
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Views: 3,657

Estimating multiplicative and additive hazard functions by Kernel methods

Author(s):

Jens Nielsen

 et al.

We propose new procedures for estimating the univariate quantities of interest in both additive and multiplicative nonparametric marker dependent hazard models.

Updated: 22/09/2011
Comments:
Views: 3,056

Non-parametric regression with a latent time series

In this paper we investigate a class of semi-parametric models for panel data sets where the cross-section and time dimensions are large.

Updated: 22/09/2011
Comments:
Views: 3,065

Multidimensional credibility with time effects: an application to commercial business lines

Author(s):

Jens Nielsen

 et al.

This article considers Danish insurance business lines for which the pricing methodology has been dramatically upgraded recently.

Updated: 22/09/2011
Comments:
Views: 3,181