Articles in "Finance"

Credit rating migration risk and business cycles

Author(s):

Elena Kalotychou

 et al.
Topic:
Finance
Industry:
Banking

The recent global financial crisis has served as a stark reminder of the crucial role of systematic stress testing of financial institutions' portfolios, particularly, their lending books. In response to the regulatory deficiencies thus revealed, Basel III is seeking to achieve the broader macroprudential goal of protecting the banking sector from periods of excess credit growth by requesting longer horizon default probabilities, downturn loss-given-default measures and improved calibration of risk models.

A Mixture of Markov Chains (MMC) approach is proposed to estimate credit rating migration risk that controls for the business-cycle evolution during the relevant time horizon in order to ensure adequate capital buffers both in good and bad times.

Updated: 20/02/2012
Comments:
Views: 187

Money market freezes and central banks

Author(s):

Max Bruche

 et al.
Topic:
Finance
Industry:
Banking

During the global crisis central banks were accused of undertaking unconventional measures that some commentators claimed went beyond their mandate. This article focuses on central banks intervening in the money markets as a middle man. It argues that such actions can be welfare improving, but are unlikely to be fiscally neutral, thus raising questions about whether they should be left to a central bank.

Updated: 14/02/2012
Comments:
Views: 237

The market valuation of bonus distributions in an inflationary environment

Author(s):

Meziane Lasfer

Topic:
Finance
Industry:
Banking

In inflationary environments, companies can avoid paying cash dividends to their shareholders. Instead they give them free shares, referred to as bonus distributions. This issue has not been analysed in previous studies, partly because the inflation in many western countries is relatively low and stable.

In this study, the market valuation of this unusual form of stock dividends was assessed, this was carried out by transferring the accumulated equity reserves, mainly the inflation revaluation equity reserves, to paid-in capital leaving the total equity unchanged.

Updated: 09/02/2012
Comments:
Views: 243

Firm incentives, institutional complexity and the quality of “harmonised” accounting numbers

Author(s):

Ivana Raonic

Topic:
Finance
Industry:
Any Industry

A recent attempt to harmonise accounting standards internationally, through the adoption of IFRS, has raised expectations of greater similarity in reporting quality across jurisdictions.

Although research shows that high-quality standards generally improve accounting quality, there is evidence that standards have a limited role in determining financial reporting quality.

Updated: 01/02/2012
Comments:
Views: 455

Determinants of debt rescheduling in Eastern European countries

Author(s):

Natasa Todorovic

Topic:
Finance
Industry:
Any Industry

From 1990 to 2005, a number of Eastern European countries became an attractive region for investments. This paper looks at 15 of those countries and aims to estimate debt rescheduling probabilities by using a set of macroeconomic, financial and political variables.

This research is of particular relevance to policy makers, institutional and private foreign investors to investigate determinants or debt rescheduling probabilities in those countries.

Updated: 27/01/2012
Comments:
Views: 262

Are positive reactions to bad news plausible? The consideration of fraud in audit and reporting delays

Author(s):

Andrew Yim

Topic:
Finance

In June 2009 came the news of the alleged fraud in Countrywide Financial, one of the largest mortgage loan providers in the US before the credit crunch hit. The allegation against Countrywide reminded people of an unfulfilled role of auditors in the financial market: fraud detection.

Considering previous literature, the majority of which focuses on accounting fraud, this paper focuses on the misappropriation of assets and draws a range of conclusions.

Updated: 13/02/2012
Comments:
Views: 468

Public sector efficiency: leveling the playing field between OECD countries

Author(s):

Manthos Delis

Topic:
Finance
Industry:
Public Policy

It has long been recognised that the efficient function of the public sector is a prerequisite for a country's competent economic performance.

This paper aims to identify a robust methodology for the measurement of the relative public sector efficiency (government efficiency) of 19 OECD countries over the period 1980-2000.

Updated: 12/01/2012
Comments:
Views: 374

What does equity sector orderflow tell us about the economy?

Investors rebalance their portfolios as their views about expected returns and risk change.

In this study empirical measures of portfolio rebalancing were used to back out investors' views, specifically their views about the state of the economy.

Contrary to many theories of price formation, did trading activity therefore contain information that that is not entirely revealed by resulting relative price changes?

Updated: 05/01/2012
Comments:
Views: 713

The chicken or the egg? A note on the dynamic interrelation between government bond spreads and credit default swaps

Author(s):

Manthos Delis

 et al.
Topic:
Finance
Industry:
Banking

The recent financial turmoil has taken a heavy toll on the global economy and had a devastating effect on public finances. Following the crisis, a number of Southern European countries have found themselves with a problematic public sector.
A team including Dr Manthos Delis, Senior Lecturer in Banking, used data from a number of these countries, including Greece, Italy, Portugal and Spain to provide the first empirical assessment of the dynamic interrelation between government bond spreads and their associated credit default swaps.

Updated: 09/12/2011
Comments:
Views: 560