Author's profile

Roy Batchelor
Cass Business School

Background

HSBC Professor of Banking and Finance, Faculty of FinanceRoy Batchelor is Professor of Banking and Finance at Cass Business School, City of London, and Director of the Cass Executive MBA programme in Dubai. He is a Fellow and Research Professor at the CES-Ifo Institute of the University of Munich, and Visiting Professor of Finance at the British University in Dubai.

Author articles

  • Why forecasts differ (and why they are so bad)?
    Accounting, Finance
    Banking

    Economic forecasters have not had a good press recently. Only the mavericks saw the global recession coming. Analysts forecasting company earnings have never had a great press. Their forecasts seem horribly inaccurate and often overoptimistic, with some dragged through the courts after telling their clients to buy and their friends to sell.

    06/03/2012 | 1,141
  • Forecasting sharp changes
    Finance
    Banking

    We have learned yet again just how bad we are at forecasting sharp and hard-to-reverse changes in economic conditions. The linear models that perform well most of the time aren't cut out for this job.

    22/09/2011 | 833
  • Why do we need complexification?
    Finance
    Banking

    The article illustrates the difference between a simple macroeconomic-forecasting model and a complex-system model and compares the virtues of the two viewpoints.

    22/09/2011 | 941